The Australian Capital Territory (ACT) serves as a useful case study of city-level decarbonisation, having already achieved 100% renewable electricity by 2020, and with an ambitious target for net-zero emissions by 2045. The transition presents both challenges and opportunities for managing electricity demand.
This research focuses on the opportunity to better utilise existing network infrastructure and reduce energy costs for ACT residents. The analysis found that significant population growth in the ACT to 2045 and electrification can be accommodated within the capacity of existing distribution zone substations if, and only if, the timing of electric vehicle charging and water heating is shaped to occur in times of otherwise low electricity demand. The inflexibility of current appliances comes at the major cost of peak demands and these will grow – even in the absence of electrification – with population growth.
It concludes that simple strategic policies that shift loads into low demand periods would enable significant growth in total demand to be accommodated within existing zone substation capacity limits. For example, in the suburb of Gungahlin, such measures could limit peak demand increases to just 25%, while all private vehicles and domestic hot water are electrified, and the population grows by 30%.